Australian Football League Round 17 MELB v SYD Sun 25 July 10 2:10 PM EST MCG

   
Melbourne 22.10 (142) def Sydney 10.9 (69)

The Demons were gallant to get back in the game against the Dockers and, but for some inaccurate kicking for goal from the improving Jack Watts, may have stolen that game. Sydney is getting close to full strength and was excellent when setting up a winning lead over the Blues early last week. Adam Goodes again showed how crucial he is to the Swans success. However, Melbourne has been pretty good at the MCG this season. - PR

Zammit: Sydney has a good record over Melbourne, back the Swans for the win at $1.60.

Richards: Not sure which way to go here. Both are capable of winning. Maybe take both of them to win by less than 40 points (Melbourne - $2.75, Swans - $2.30) in separate multiples with a few of the shorties.

Last Time: Syd. 68 def Melb. 50 - 26/07/2009 Head to Head: Melb. 91 - Syd. 106 - Draw 1
Last Venue: Manuka Head to Head this ground: Melb. 4 - Syd. 6
Predicted Handicap: +12.0 Last 10 Head to Head: W12 L21 W34 L26 W5 L32 L49 L48 L40 L18
MELBOURNE DEMONS
Season 2010
14/06/10 Round 12 - MELB v COLL @ MCG
Melbourne 11.10 (76) drew with Collingwood 9.22 (76)
27/06/10 Round 13 - ADEL v MELB @ Aami Stadium
Adelaide 16.21 (117) def Melbourne 11.7 (73)
4/07/10 Round 14 - ST K v MELB @ Etihad Stadium
St Kilda 15.10 (100) def Melbourne 9.11 (65)
11/07/10 Round 15 - MELB v ESS @ MCG
Melbourne 19.8 (122) def Essendon 14.19 (103)
18/07/10 Round 16 - FRE v MELB @ Subiaco
Fremantle 11.16 (82) def Melbourne 10.11 (71)
SYDNEY SWANS
Season 2010
12/06/10 Round 12 - PORT v SYD @ AAMI Stadium
Sydney 14.9 (93) def Port Adelaide 8.7 (55)
26/06/10 Round 13 - SYD v COLL @ ANZ Stadium
Collingwood 13.18 (96) def Sydney 10.11 (71)
4/07/10 Round 14 - RICH v SYD @ MCG
Richmond 14.5 (89) def Sydney 12.13 (85)
11/07/10 Round 15 - SYD v NM @ SCG
Sydney 12.13 (85) def North Melbourne 7.13 (55)
18/07/10 Round 16 - CAR v SYD @ Etihad Stadium
Sydney 16.11 (107) def Carlton 10.8 (68)
Last 10: L4 L29 W1 L54 L41 D76 L44 L35 W19 L11
Last 10 here: L L W W W L L L D W
Last 10 (Day): W W W L L L L D W L
Last 10 (Night): L L L L L L L W L L
Last 10 (Interstate): L L L L L L L W L L
Record after Interstate travel - Win (%): 22% Loss (%): 78%
Last 10 Average Scores
For: 76 Against: 96 For Here: 80 Against Here: 83
Estimated margin of victory: 12
Probability to Win: 37% Probability to Lead Half Time: 43%
Suggested margin price 0-25 pts: $5.20 25+ pts: $6.00
Suggested margin price 0-39 pts: $3.60 40+ pts: $12.10
Last 10: L67 L38 L37 L2 W9 W38 L25 L4 W30 W39
Last 10 here: W L L L L L W L L L
Last 10 (Day): W W L L L L W L W W
Last 10 (Night): W L L L L L W W W L
Last 10 (Interstate): W L W W L L L W L W
Record after Interstate travel - Win (%): 44% Loss (%): 56%
Last 10 Average Scores
For: 82 Against: 85 For Here: 81 Against Here: 90
Estimated margin of victory: -12
Probability to Win: 63% Probability to Lead Half Time: 57%
Suggested margin price 0-25 pts: $4.00 25+ pts: $2.60
Suggested margin price 0-39 pts: $2.40 40+ pts: $4.70
Updated Thu 9 Sep
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