Australian Football League Round 17 NM v ESS Sat 24 July 10 7:10 PM EST Etihad Stadium
| Essendon 18.14 (122) def North Melbourne 18.11 (119) |
The Kangaroos kept their finals chances alive with an excellent wet weather win over Richmond last week. However, the Roos must win as they have three games against top five sides looming. The wheels have fallen off at Essendon who were insipid last week. While their skill level has been poor is has been their complete lack of intensity and desire that has been most worrisome. - PZ
Zammit: North Melbourne are in much better form than the Bombers, back them by under 40 points ($2.25).
Richards: Hard to back Essendon with any confidence. The Roos are $2.25 to win by less than 40 points and probably will.
| Last Time: Nth.M. 69 def Ess. 57 - 19/04/2009 |
Head to Head: Nth.M. 50 - Ess. 93 - Draw 1 |
| Last Venue: Etihad Stadium |
Head to Head this ground: Nth.M. 6 - Ess. 1 |
| Predicted Handicap: -5.5 |
Last 10 Head to Head: L85 L12 W8 W8 W21 W42 W7 W22 L55 W12 |
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NORTH MELBOURNE KANGAROOS
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| Season 2010 |
| 11/06/10 |
Round 12 - NM v CAR @ Etihad Stadium |
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North Melbourne 14.13 (97) def Carlton 10.8 (68) |
| 20/06/10 |
Round 13 - NM v PORT @ MCG |
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North Melbourne 19.15 (129) def Port Adelaide 14.9 (93) |
| 4/07/10 |
Round 14 - GEEL v NM @ Skilled Stadium |
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Geelong 14.14 (98) def North Melbourne 9.9 (63) |
| 11/07/10 |
Round 15 - SYD v NM @ SCG |
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Sydney 12.13 (85) def North Melbourne 7.13 (55) |
| 18/07/10 |
Round 16 - RICH v NM @ MCG |
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North Melbourne 15.13 (103) def Richmond 7.11 (53) |
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ESSENDON BOMBERS
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| Season 2010 |
| 12/06/10 |
Round 12 - ESS v GEEL @ Etihad Stadium |
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Geelong 23.16 (154) def Essendon 12.11 (73) |
| 18/06/10 |
Round 13 - HAW v ESS @ MCG |
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Hawthorn 14.18 (102) def Essendon 13.8 (86) |
| 3/07/10 |
Round 14 - ADEL v ESS @ Aami Stadium |
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Adelaide 19.10 (124) def Essendon 5.10 (40) |
| 11/07/10 |
Round 15 - MELB v ESS @ MCG |
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Melbourne 19.8 (122) def Essendon 14.19 (103) |
| 17/07/10 |
Round 16 - ESS v WCE @ Etihad Stadium |
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West Coast 20.12 (132) def Essendon 14.16 (100) |
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Last 10:
L66 W9 L70 L61 W1 W29 W36 L35 L30 W50
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Last 10 here:
W L W L W W L W W W
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Last 10 (Day):
W L W L W L W L L W
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Last 10 (Night):
L L W L W L W L W W
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Last 10 (Interstate):
L L L L L W L W L L
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Record after Interstate travel - Win (%):
50%
Loss (%):
50%
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Last 10 Average Scores
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For:
86
Against:
97
For Here:
87
Against Here:
94
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Estimated margin of victory:
-6
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Probability to Win:
56%
Probability to Lead Half Time:
53%
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Suggested margin price 0-25 pts:
$4.10
25+ pts:
$3.20
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Suggested margin price 0-39 pts:
$2.60
40+ pts:
$5.90
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Last 10:
L3 W12 W35 W9 L9 L71 L16 L84 L19 L32
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Last 10 here:
L W L W L L W W L L
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Last 10 (Day):
L W L L W L L L L L
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Last 10 (Night):
W L W W W W L L L L
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Last 10 (Interstate):
L L L W L L L L L L
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Record after Interstate travel - Win (%):
40%
Loss (%):
60%
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Last 10 Average Scores
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For:
93
Against:
106
For Here:
95
Against Here:
112
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Estimated margin of victory:
6
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Probability to Win:
44%
Probability to Lead Half Time:
47%
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Suggested margin price 0-25 pts:
$4.60
25+ pts:
$4.70
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Suggested margin price 0-39 pts:
$3.10
40+ pts:
$9.20
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