National Rugby League Round 20 NQLD v NEWC Sat 24 July 10 7:30 PM EST Dairy Farmers Stadium, Townsville, Queensland

   
North Queensland 28 def Newcastle 24

The Cowboys’ season of woe continued last Monday night when they let a 16-0 lead evaporate and conceded 26 unanswered points in their loss to the Wests Tigers. The penalty count of 9-2 in favour of the home side did not help the Cowboys’ fortunes, and although young centre Arana Taumata and halfback Johnathan Thurston both turned in strong performances, Neil Henry’s men again struggled to close out a match. Meanwhile, in what was perhaps the club’s most important match this season against fellow top-eight contenders Canberra, the Knights turned in a pathetic display as they limped to a crushing 52-18 defeat in the nation’s capital. An awful defensive effort in the first 20 minutes put the game beyond doubt, and with the Knights’ for-and-against numbers taking a huge blow, it puts them well behind the eight ball. Coach Rick Stone had some harsh words to say about his team’s endeavour, ahead of their season-defining clash in Townsville this Saturday.

Suggested bet: I can see this game going either of two ways: Cowboys by plenty or Knights in a close one. Go the Knights straight out and have a couple of dollars on the Cowboys by 30-plus.  

Last Time: Newc. 36 def N.Qld. 18 - 17/4/10 Head to Head: N.Qld. 8 - Newc. 15
Last Venue: Energy Australia Stadium, Newcastle, New South Wales Head to Head this ground: N.Qld. 4 - Newc. 5
Predicted Handicap: -2.0 Last 10 Head to Head: W34 L4 W2 L7 W16 L12 L14 W26 L6 L18
NORTH QUEENSLAND COWBOYS
Season 2010
12/06/10 Round 14 - NQLD v CANB @ Dairy Farmers Stadium, Townsville, Queensland
North Queensland 16 def Canberra 8
19/06/10 Round 15 - MELB v NQLD @ Aami Park
Melbourne 58 def North Queensland 12
26/06/10 Round 16 - NQLD v CRON @ Dairy Farmers Stadium, Townsville, Queensland
Cronulla 20 def North Queensland 19
12/07/10 Round 18 - PARR v NQLD @ Parramatta Stadium, Sydney, New South Wales
Parramatta 36 def North Queensland 24
19/07/10 Round 19 - WEST v NQLD @ Leichhardt Oval, Sydney, New South Wales
Wests 26 def North Queensland 16
NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS
Season 2010
13/06/10 Round 14 - NEWC v NZ @ Energy Australia Stadium, Newcastle, New South Wales
New Zealand 32 def Newcastle 24
21/06/10 Round 15 - NEWC v PARR @ Energy Australia Stadium
Newcastle 6 def Parramatta 4
27/06/10 Round 16 - GC v NEWC @ Skilled Park, Gold Coast, Queensland
Newcastle 24 def Gold Coast 16
11/07/10 Round 18 - NEWC v CRON @ Energy Australia Stadium, Newcastle, New South Wales
Newcastle 21 def Cronulla 10
18/07/10 Round 19 - CANB v NEWC @ Canberra Stadium, Canberra, ACT
Canberra 52 def Newcastle 18
Last 10: L28 W18 L12 L4 L28 W8 L46 L1 L12 L10
Last 10 here: L L W W L L L L W L
Last 10 (Day): W L L W L W W L L W
Last 10 (Night): L W L L L W L L L L
Last 10 (Interstate): W L L L W L L L L L
Record after travel - Win (%): 33% Loss (%): 67%
Last 10 Average scores by half: 1st: 9 2nd: 8
Last 10 Average Scores
For: 16 Against: 27 For Here: 18 Against Here: 22
Estimated margin of victory: -2
Probability to Win: 54% Probability to Lead Half Time: 52%
Suggested margin price 0-25 pts: $3.50 25+ pts: $3.80
Last 10: W8 L2 W16 L17 L18 L8 W2 W8 W11 L34
Last 10 here: L L W W W L L W W L
Last 10 (Day): W W L L W L L W W L
Last 10 (Night): L L L W L W W L L W
Last 10 (Interstate): L L L L L L L W W L
Record after travel - Win (%): 78% Loss (%): 22%
Last 10 Average scores by half: 1st: 10 2nd: 10
Last 10 Average Scores
For: 20 Against: 24 For Here: 21 Against Here: 24
Estimated margin of victory: 2
Probability to Win: 46% Probability to Lead Half Time: 48%
Suggested margin price 0-25 pts: $3.90 25+ pts: $5.10
Updated Thu 2 Sep
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